V-Lab
ATIF Holdings Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026
1 Day
108.19%
decreased by 7.56%
1 Week
110.14%
decreased by 5.61%
1 Month
114.57%
decreased by 1.18%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:03 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 3, 2019 to Oct 2, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 8-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 2.37** |
| αARCH | 0.2172 | 3.30*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7256 | 13.07*** |
| γleverage | -0.0612 | -0.59 |
0.912
Persistence8d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 2.37** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2172 | 3.30*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7256 | 13.07*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0612 | -0.59 |
Persistence:
0.912
Half-life:
8 days
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