V-Lab
ATIF Holdings Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
92.55%
decreased by 4.24%
1 Week
97.31%
increased by 0.52%
1 Month
107.54%
increased by 10.75%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 10:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 3, 2019 to Sep 11, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 7-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 2.34** |
| αARCH | 0.2267 | 3.21*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7205 | 12.43*** |
| γleverage | -0.0733 | -0.68 |
0.911
Persistence7d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 2.34** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2267 | 3.21*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7205 | 12.43*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0733 | -0.68 |
Persistence:
0.911
Half-life:
7 days
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