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V-Lab

Remark Holdings Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 23rd, 2026

1 Day

770.83%

decreased by 5.96%

1 Week

757.64%

decreased by 19.15%

1 Month

711.37%

decreased by 65.42%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 09:11 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Remark Holdings Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 10, 2003 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 18 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 18 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1065
15.92***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8484
120.94***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0163
1.79*
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0425
5.44***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0100
5.20***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9900
431.16***

Persistence:

0.963

Half-life:

18 days