V-Lab
Remark Holdings Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 23rd, 2026
1 Day
770.83%
decreased by 5.96%
1 Week
757.64%
decreased by 19.15%
1 Month
711.37%
decreased by 65.42%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 09:11 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 10, 2003 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 18 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 18 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 56 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1065 | 15.92*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8484 | 120.94*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0163 | 1.79* |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0425 | 5.44*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0100 | 5.20*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9900 | 431.16*** |
Persistence:
0.963
Half-life:
18 days
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