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V-Lab

Remark Holdings Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

330.62%

decreased by 1.02%

1 Week

372.63%

increased by 40.99%

1 Month

405.18%

increased by 73.54%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 02:01 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Remark Holdings Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 10, 2003 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 39% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1690
17.11***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7165
34.03***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0476
-3.87***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.4504
1.76*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0700
3.44***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9298
43.34***

Persistence:

0.862

Half-life:

5 days