V-Lab
Remark Holdings Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
330.62%
1 Week
372.63%
1 Month
405.18%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 02:01 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 10, 2003 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 39% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1690 | 17.11*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7165 | 34.03*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0476 | -3.87*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.4504 | 1.76* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0700 | 3.44*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9298 | 43.34*** |
Persistence:
0.862
Half-life:
5 days
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