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Remark Holdings Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026

1 Day

798.47%

decreased by 52.85%

1 Week

796.35%

decreased by 54.97%

1 Month

787.99%

decreased by 63.33%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 12:02 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/22/2024

to

10/22/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Remark Holdings Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 10, 2003 to Oct 19, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 245 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.57 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~245 daysv = 2.57 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run371.2854
1.84*
αscore0.0958
29.54***
βpersistence0.9972
706.21***
νDF2.5741
75.96***

0.997

Persistence

245d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

371.2854
1.84*
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.0958
29.54***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9972
706.21***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.5741
75.96***

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

245 days