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Remark Holdings Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

118.76%

decreased by 11.97%

1 Week

120.04%

decreased by 10.69%

1 Month

124.95%

decreased by 5.78%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 09:27 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Remark Holdings Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 10, 2003 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 287 trading days (~1.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.76 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~287 daysv = 2.76 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst308.2149
1.90*
αARCH0.0878
27.23***
βGARCH0.9976
882.04***
νDF2.7577
51.79***

0.998

Persistence

287d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

308.2149
1.90*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0878
27.23***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9976
882.04***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.7577
51.79***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

287 days