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Remark Holdings Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

66.68%

decreased by 5.86%

1 Week

69.71%

decreased by 2.83%

1 Month

80.52%

increased by 7.98%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 09:18 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Remark Holdings Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 10, 2003 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 266 trading days (~1.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.66 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~266 daysv = 2.66 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst333.5952
1.88*
αARCH0.0911
28.37***
βGARCH0.9974
799.84***
νDF2.6600
63.30***

0.997

Persistence

266d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

333.5952
1.88*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0911
28.37***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9974
799.84***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.6600
63.30***

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

266 days