V-Lab
Maxeon Solar Technologies Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
647.24%
decreased by 64.84%
1 Week
640.29%
decreased by 71.79%
1 Month
613.86%
decreased by 98.22%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 09:26 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 27, 2020 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 60 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 60 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.43 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 60-day half-lifev = 4.43 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 104.0605 | 1.23 |
| αARCH | 0.0972 | 7.93*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9885 | 144.79*** |
| νDF | 4.4342 | 2.71*** |
0.988
Persistence60d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 104.0605 | 1.23 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0972 | 7.93*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9885 | 144.79*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 4.4342 | 2.71*** |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
60 days
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