Maxeon Solar Technologies Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026
1 Day
3,434.81%
decreased by 64.43%
1 Week
3,277.85%
decreased by 221.39%
1 Month
2,861.35%
decreased by 637.89%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 12:01 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 27, 2020 to Oct 20, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 8 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
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Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.3552 | 2.15** |
| αARCH | 0.1439 | 3.03*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7752 | 11.43*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | -0.3743 | -0.09 |
| γ2 | 2.9893 | 0.57 |
| γ3 | -4.2205 | -1.44 |
| γ4 | 2.8979 | 0.84 |
| γ5 | -3.3044 | -0.78 |
| γ6 | 5.6350 | 1.37 |
| γ7 | -7.8694 | -1.86* |
| γ8 | 2.5525 | 0.58 |
| γ9 | 13.2964 | 2.72*** |
| γ10 | -19.7798 | -4.26*** |
0.919
Persistence8d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3552 | 2.15** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1439 | 3.03*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7752 | 11.43*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | -0.3743 | -0.09 |
| γ2 | 2.9893 | 0.57 |
| γ3 | -4.2205 | -1.44 |
| γ4 | 2.8979 | 0.84 |
| γ5 | -3.3044 | -0.78 |
| γ6 | 5.6350 | 1.37 |
| γ7 | -7.8694 | -1.86* |
| γ8 | 2.5525 | 0.58 |
| γ9 | 13.2964 | 2.72*** |
| γ10 | -19.7798 | -4.26*** |
Persistence:
0.919
Half-life:
8 days
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