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Vulcan Infrastructure and Power Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026

1 Day

89.11%

decreased by 2.55%

1 Week

93.78%

increased by 2.12%

1 Month

104.86%

increased by 13.20%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 5, 2026 at 09:39 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/05/2024

to

10/05/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Vulcan Infrastructure and Power Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 15, 2021 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.51 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 10-day half-lifev = 4.51 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst57.3326
1.31
αARCH0.0634
1.86*
βGARCH0.9296
21.11***
νDF4.5124
0.52

0.930

Persistence

10d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

57.3326
1.31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0634
1.86*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9296
21.11***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.5124
0.52

Persistence:

0.930

Half-life:

10 days