Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Vulcan Infrastructure and Power Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

88.70%

decreased by 2.84%

1 Week

93.11%

increased by 1.57%

1 Month

103.34%

increased by 11.80%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:47 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Vulcan Infrastructure and Power Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 15, 2021 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.81 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 9-day half-lifev = 4.81 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run57.7169
1.50
αscore0.0691
2.00**
βpersistence0.9248
23.06***
νDF4.8066
0.51

0.925

Persistence

9d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

57.7169
1.50
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.0691
2.00**
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9248
23.06***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.8066
0.51

Persistence:

0.925

Half-life:

9 days