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Vulcan Infrastructure and Power Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

119.66%

decreased by 6.53%

1 Week

119.93%

decreased by 6.26%

1 Month

120.57%

decreased by 5.62%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Vulcan Infrastructure and Power Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 15, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.67 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

58.4915
5.57***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0593
6.80***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9178
77.93***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.6744
1.61

Persistence:

0.918

Half-life:

8 days