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V-Lab

Smart Powerr Corp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 7th, 2026

1 Day

377.54%

decreased by 97.38%

1 Week

374.52%

decreased by 100.40%

1 Month

364.14%

decreased by 110.78%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 09:29 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Smart Powerr Corp GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 4, 2001 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 27 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 27 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.17 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 27-day half-lifev = 2.17 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst386.3733
1.96**
αARCH0.1483
25.47***
βGARCH0.9742
80.92***
νDF2.1696
96.46***

0.974

Persistence

27d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

386.3733
1.96**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1483
25.47***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9742
80.92***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.1696
96.46***

Persistence:

0.974

Half-life:

27 days