Namib Minerals APARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 6th, 2026
1 Day
50.48%
decreased by 7.59%
1 Week
50.66%
decreased by 7.41%
1 Month
51.38%
decreased by 6.69%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 2, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0227 | 3.77 | |
| 0.2908 | 3.55 | |
| 0.7092 | 8.44 | |
| -0.3931 | -2.70 | |
| 1.7217 | 3.59 |
Estimation Period:
Sep 29, 2021 to Jul 2, 2026
Sep 29, 2021 to Jul 2, 2026
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