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V-Lab

Q32 Bio Inc APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

50.06%

increased by 2.74%

1 Week

67.41%

increased by 20.09%

1 Month

102.26%

increased by 54.94%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:02 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Q32 Bio Inc APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 28, 2018 to Aug 14, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 42% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets. The volatility power δ = 1.04 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0000
7.59***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3650
12.61***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5970
23.81***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1683
-4.87***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.0390
17.28***

Persistence:

0.889

Half-life:

6 days