Namib Minerals GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 6th, 2026
1 Day
47.83%
decreased by 2.22%
1 Week
47.99%
decreased by 2.06%
1 Month
48.66%
decreased by 1.39%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 2, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0320 | 6.06 | |
| 0.3556 | 3.85 | |
| 0.6444 | 15.40 |
Estimation Period:
Sep 29, 2021 to Jul 2, 2026
Sep 29, 2021 to Jul 2, 2026
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