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V-Lab

Huron Consulting Group Inc APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

52.27%

decreased by 1.87%

1 Week

52.40%

decreased by 1.74%

1 Month

52.88%

decreased by 1.26%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:01 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Huron Consulting Group Inc APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 13, 2004 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible. The volatility power δ = 0.78 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0388
7.53***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0400
13.63***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9569
245.55***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.9187
12.29***
δ

power

Transformation power

0.7751
15.64***

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

48 days