V-Lab
Huron Consulting Group Inc APARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
52.27%
decreased by 1.87%
1 Week
52.40%
decreased by 1.74%
1 Month
52.88%
decreased by 1.26%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:01 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 13, 2004 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible. The volatility power δ = 0.78 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
σ
APARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0388 | 7.53*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0400 | 13.63*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9569 | 245.55*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.9187 | 12.29*** |
δ power Transformation power | 0.7751 | 15.64*** |
Persistence:
0.986
Half-life:
48 days
Other Huron Consulting Group Inc Analyses
Other APARCH Analyses on Equities