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V-Lab

Huron Consulting Group Inc Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

60.83%

decreased by 0.68%

1 Week

64.91%

increased by 3.40%

1 Month

68.70%

increased by 7.19%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 10:10 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Huron Consulting Group Inc SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 13, 2004 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.6135
10.11***
αARCH0.1059
4.52***
βGARCH0.6215
8.13***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ10.4443
5.24***
γ2-0.6719
-4.71***
γ30.2334
1.98**
γ40.1246
0.90
γ5-0.2426
-1.38
γ60.1954
1.08
γ7-0.1344
-0.82
γ80.0461
0.27
γ90.2396
0.97

0.727

Persistence

2d

Half-life
τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.6135
10.11***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1059
4.52***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6215
8.13***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ10.4443
5.24***
γ2-0.6719
-4.71***
γ30.2334
1.98**
γ40.1246
0.90
γ5-0.2426
-1.38
γ60.1954
1.08
γ7-0.1344
-0.82
γ80.0461
0.27
γ90.2396
0.97

Persistence:

0.727

Half-life:

2 days