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Huron Consulting Group Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

38.53%

increased by 3.87%

1 Week

38.58%

increased by 3.92%

1 Month

38.76%

increased by 4.10%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:39 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Huron Consulting Group Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 13, 2004 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 35 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 35 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.39 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 35-day half-lifev = 3.39 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst6.3068
0.85
αARCH0.0607
5.54***
βGARCH0.9803
41.36***
νDF3.3932
2.62***

0.980

Persistence

35d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

6.3068
0.85
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0607
5.54***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9803
41.36***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.3932
2.62***

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

35 days