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Huron Consulting Group Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

41.52%

decreased by 1.15%

1 Week

41.46%

decreased by 1.21%

1 Month

41.24%

decreased by 1.43%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:13 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Huron Consulting Group Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 13, 2004 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 36 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 36 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.45 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 36-day half-lifev = 3.45 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run6.2829
0.86
αscore0.0589
5.61***
βpersistence0.9810
43.50***
νDF3.4477
2.53**

0.981

Persistence

36d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

6.2829
0.86
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.0589
5.61***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9810
43.50***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.4477
2.53**

Persistence:

0.981

Half-life:

36 days