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V-Lab

KBR Inc APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

46.91%

increased by 4.57%

1 Week

46.90%

increased by 4.56%

1 Month

46.88%

increased by 4.54%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of KBR Inc APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 16, 2006 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 218% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.02 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0646
14.36***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0704
20.75***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9221
261.16***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5117
14.70***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.0227
25.05***

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

32 days