V-Lab
Roundhill DLY 2X LG Magn SVN MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
67.34%
decreased by 3.13%
1 Week
66.31%
decreased by 4.16%
1 Month
62.91%
decreased by 7.56%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 29, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 116 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8937 | 94.98*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1426 | 19.45*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.7576 | 0.12 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7218 | 0.32 |
Persistence:
0.965
Half-life:
19 days
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