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V-Lab

Roundhill DLY 2X LG Magn SVN MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

67.34%

decreased by 3.13%

1 Week

66.31%

decreased by 4.16%

1 Month

62.91%

decreased by 7.56%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Roundhill DLY 2X LG Magn SVN MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 29, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

116
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8937
94.98***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1426
19.45***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.7576
0.12
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7218
0.32

Persistence:

0.965

Half-life:

19 days