V-Lab
Roundhill DLY 2X LG Magn SVN GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
43.75%
decreased by 1.20%
1 Week
44.59%
decreased by 0.36%
1 Month
46.83%
increased by 1.88%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:33 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 29, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6126 | 5.01*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8706 | 48.99*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1389 | 5.25*** |
Persistence:
0.940
Half-life:
11 days
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