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V-Lab

Roundhill DLY 2X LG Magn SVN GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

66.59%

decreased by 3.43%

1 Week

65.07%

decreased by 4.95%

1 Month

60.68%

decreased by 9.34%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Roundhill DLY 2X LG Magn SVN GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 29, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6078
4.99***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0015
0.14
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8716
49.72***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1370
4.98***

Persistence:

0.942

Half-life:

12 days