V-Lab
Roundhill DLY 2X LG Magn SVN GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
66.59%
decreased by 3.43%
1 Week
65.07%
decreased by 4.95%
1 Month
60.68%
decreased by 9.34%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 29, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6078 | 4.99*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0015 | 0.14 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8716 | 49.72*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1370 | 4.98*** |
Persistence:
0.942
Half-life:
12 days
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