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V-Lab

Roundhill DLY 2X LG Magn SVN GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

43.75%

decreased by 1.20%

1 Week

44.59%

decreased by 0.36%

1 Month

46.83%

increased by 1.88%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:33 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Roundhill DLY 2X LG Magn SVN GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 29, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6126
5.01***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8706
48.99***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1389
5.25***

Persistence:

0.940

Half-life:

11 days