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V-Lab

Roundhill DLY 2X LG Magn SVN APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

47.74%

decreased by 1.59%

1 Week

48.13%

decreased by 1.20%

1 Month

49.17%

decreased by 0.16%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:33 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Roundhill DLY 2X LG Magn SVN APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 29, 2024 to Aug 7, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6152
3.99***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0334
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8738
50.16***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

1.0000
0.00
δ

power

Transformation power

2.0232
10.89***

Persistence:

0.942

Half-life:

12 days