V-Lab
Roundhill DLY 2X LG Magn SVN EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
46.23%
decreased by 1.92%
1 Week
47.02%
decreased by 1.13%
1 Month
49.27%
increased by 1.12%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:33 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 29, 2024 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 366% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1450 | 5.50*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1578 | 8.78*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9405 | 103.37*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1020 | -5.54*** |
Persistence:
0.940
Half-life:
11 days
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