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V-Lab

Roundhill DLY 2X LG Magn SVN GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

50.69%

decreased by 3.90%

1 Week

50.90%

decreased by 3.69%

1 Month

51.51%

decreased by 3.08%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Roundhill DLY 2X LG Magn SVN GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 29, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 7.09 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

11.0696
5.67***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0976
7.27***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9482
111.69***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

7.0867
1.59

Persistence:

0.948

Half-life:

13 days