Skip to main content
V-Lab

Roundhill DLY 2X LG Magn SVN GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

42.26%

decreased by 1.91%

1 Week

43.33%

decreased by 0.84%

1 Month

46.29%

increased by 2.12%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:33 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Roundhill DLY 2X LG Magn SVN GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 29, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 7.22 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

10.8485
6.05***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0957
7.62***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9492
118.90***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

7.2153
1.60

Persistence:

0.949

Half-life:

13 days