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V-Lab

Roundhill DLY 2X LG Magn SVN GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

54.59%

decreased by 2.51%

1 Week

54.53%

decreased by 2.57%

1 Month

54.35%

decreased by 2.75%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:33 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Roundhill DLY 2X LG Magn SVN GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 29, 2024 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5515
6.05***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1053
10.27***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8469
55.70***

Persistence:

0.952

Half-life:

14 days