V-Lab
Roundhill DLY 2X LG Magn SVN GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
54.59%
decreased by 2.51%
1 Week
54.53%
decreased by 2.57%
1 Month
54.35%
decreased by 2.75%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:33 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 29, 2024 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5515 | 6.05*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1053 | 10.27*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8469 | 55.70*** |
Persistence:
0.952
Half-life:
14 days
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