V-Lab
Roundhill DLY 2X LG Magn SVN Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
48.55%
decreased by 5.45%
1 Week
46.75%
decreased by 7.25%
1 Month
43.34%
decreased by 10.66%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:33 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 29, 2024 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 26% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 0.77 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
μ
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2497 | 6.56*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1904 | 18.88*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7264 | 59.63*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1513 | 6.05*** |
δ power Transformation power | 0.7668 | 6.95*** |
Persistence:
0.878
Half-life:
5 days
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