Caracas Stock Exchange Stock Market Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, May 21st, 2026
1 Day
45.94%
increased by 7.72%
1 Week
50.64%
increased by 12.42%
1 Month
56.01%
increased by 17.79%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, May 21, 2026 at 05:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7955 | 2.25 | |
| 0.4885 | 5.66 | |
| 0.2992 | 3.11 | |
| -2.5580 | -2.59 | |
| 2.5551 | 1.59 | |
| 0.9287 | 0.74 | |
| -2.4092 | -2.08 | |
| 2.6204 | 1.98 | |
| -1.6408 | -1.32 | |
| 1.0249 | 0.98 | |
| -0.7104 | -0.94 | |
| 0.3971 | 0.69 | |
| -0.3967 | -0.64 |
Estimation Period:
Mar 25, 2015 to May 15, 2026
Mar 25, 2015 to May 15, 2026
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