Caracas Stock Exchange Stock Market Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, April 13th, 2026
1 Day
42.96%
decreased by 7.20%
1 Week
52.20%
increased by 2.04%
1 Month
61.73%
increased by 11.57%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, April 11, 2026 at 06:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7799 | 2.26 | |
| 0.4818 | 5.71 | |
| 0.3010 | 3.08 | |
| -2.5818 | -2.58 | |
| 2.5416 | 1.55 | |
| 1.0277 | 0.80 | |
| -2.5171 | -2.10 | |
| 2.6798 | 1.96 | |
| -1.6660 | -1.33 | |
| 1.0485 | 1.04 | |
| -0.7341 | -1.05 | |
| 0.4833 | 0.68 | |
| -0.5334 | -0.68 |
Estimation Period:
Mar 25, 2015 to Apr 10, 2026
Mar 25, 2015 to Apr 10, 2026
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