Caracas Stock Exchange Stock Market Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, June 1st, 2026
1 Day
36.24%
decreased by 4.85%
1 Week
46.52%
increased by 5.43%
1 Month
56.99%
increased by 15.90%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, May 30, 2026 at 06:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8006 | 2.25 | |
| 0.4910 | 5.63 | |
| 0.2991 | 3.13 | |
| -2.5530 | -2.61 | |
| 2.5708 | 1.61 | |
| 0.8751 | 0.71 | |
| -2.3512 | -2.07 | |
| 2.5871 | 1.99 | |
| -1.6259 | -1.32 | |
| 1.0134 | 0.96 | |
| -0.7020 | -0.89 | |
| 0.3623 | 0.68 | |
| -0.3402 | -0.61 |
Estimation Period:
Mar 25, 2015 to May 29, 2026
Mar 25, 2015 to May 29, 2026
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