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Caracas Stock Exchange Stock Market Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 27th, 2026

1 Day

74.01%

increased by 5.36%

1 Week

79.75%

increased by 11.10%

1 Month

84.00%

increased by 15.35%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 12:29 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Caracas Stock Exchange Stock Market Index EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 25, 2015 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.

σ

EGARCH Model

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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 2-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.2125
1.84*
αARCH0.3180
3.05***
βGARCH0.6400
3.15***
γleverage0.0814
0.93

0.640

Persistence

2d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2125
1.84*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3180
3.05***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6400
3.15***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0814
0.93

Persistence:

0.640

Half-life:

2 days