Caracas Stock Exchange Stock Market Index Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, April 20th, 2026
1 Day
48.83%
decreased by 4.44%
1 Week
55.29%
increased by 2.02%
1 Month
62.33%
increased by 9.06%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, April 18, 2026 at 05:50 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7643 | 2.25 | |
| 0.4804 | 5.69 | |
| 0.3019 | 3.08 | |
| -2.6379 | -2.64 | |
| 2.6101 | 1.60 | |
| 1.0202 | 0.80 | |
| -2.5368 | -2.12 | |
| 2.7117 | 1.99 | |
| -1.6971 | -1.35 | |
| 1.0706 | 1.07 | |
| -0.7444 | -1.04 | |
| 0.4803 | 0.49 | |
| -0.5221 | -0.31 |
Estimation Period:
Mar 25, 2015 to Apr 17, 2026
Mar 25, 2015 to Apr 17, 2026
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