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V-Lab

Av-Gad Holdings Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Sunday, August 9th, 2026

1 Day

204.43%

increased by 18.23%

1 Week

203.13%

increased by 16.93%

1 Month

198.61%

increased by 12.41%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 10:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Av-Gad Holdings Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 18, 2021 to Aug 7, 2026
Extended Optimization

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.02 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

119.1790
2.44**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0431
23.03***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9770
89.42***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0239
333.15***

Persistence:

0.977

Half-life:

30 days