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V-Lab

Av-Gad Holdings Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Sunday, July 26th, 2026

1 Day

201.06%

decreased by 11.21%

1 Week

200.36%

decreased by 11.91%

1 Month

197.95%

decreased by 14.32%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 02:48 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Av-Gad Holdings Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 18, 2021 to Jul 24, 2026
Extended Optimization

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.02 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

137.4329
2.30**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0448
20.69***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9750
77.47***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0205
350.90***

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

27 days