Skip to main content
V-Lab

Av-Gad Holdings Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Sunday, August 23rd, 2026

1 Day

190.39%

decreased by 10.59%

1 Week

189.71%

decreased by 11.27%

1 Month

187.34%

decreased by 13.64%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 10:50 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Av-Gad Holdings Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 18, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026
Extended Optimization

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.02 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

120.9855
2.43**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0427
23.05***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9770
88.45***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0234
336.45***

Persistence:

0.977

Half-life:

30 days