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V-Lab

Av-Gad Holdings Ltd GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Sunday, August 9th, 2026

1 Day

63.87%

increased by 30.60%

1 Week

54.41%

increased by 21.14%

1 Month

42.44%

increased by 9.17%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 10:41 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Av-Gad Holdings Ltd GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 18, 2021 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3321
7.66***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0913
8.14***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6488
16.23***

Persistence:

0.740

Half-life:

2 days