V-Lab
Av-Gad Holdings Ltd GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Sunday, August 9th, 2026
1 Day
63.87%
increased by 30.60%
1 Week
54.41%
increased by 21.14%
1 Month
42.44%
increased by 9.17%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 10:41 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 18, 2021 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3321 | 7.66*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0913 | 8.14*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6488 | 16.23*** |
Persistence:
0.740
Half-life:
2 days
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