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V-Lab

Av-Gad Holdings Ltd MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

67.17%

decreased by 12.22%

1 Week

54.58%

decreased by 24.81%

1 Month

44.50%

decreased by 34.89%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 07:26 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Av-Gad Holdings Ltd MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 18, 2021 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.5303
10.78***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2991
8.84***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3095
13.99***

Persistence:

0.609

Half-life:

1 days