Skip to main content
V-Lab

Av-Gad Holdings Ltd Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Sunday, August 9th, 2026

1 Day

66.02%

increased by 28.11%

1 Week

51.24%

increased by 13.33%

1 Month

41.43%

increased by 3.52%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 10:41 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Av-Gad Holdings Ltd APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 18, 2021 to Aug 7, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. The volatility power δ = 1.03 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0000
6.28***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2730
22.44***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3704
13.06***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0023
-0.14
δ

power

Transformation power

1.0326
7.27***

Persistence:

0.589

Half-life:

1 days