V-Lab
Av-Gad Holdings Ltd EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Sunday, August 9th, 2026
1 Day
51.73%
increased by 16.60%
1 Week
46.82%
increased by 11.69%
1 Month
41.01%
increased by 5.88%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 10:41 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 18, 2021 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3546 | 6.12*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1771 | 7.99*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7959 | 22.99*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0064 | -0.34 |
Persistence:
0.796
Half-life:
3 days
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