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V-Lab

Av-Gad Holdings Ltd EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Sunday, August 9th, 2026

1 Day

51.73%

increased by 16.60%

1 Week

46.82%

increased by 11.69%

1 Month

41.01%

increased by 5.88%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 10:41 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Av-Gad Holdings Ltd EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 18, 2021 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3546
6.12***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1771
7.99***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7959
22.99***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0064
-0.34

Persistence:

0.796

Half-life:

3 days