V-Lab
Av-Gad Holdings Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Sunday, August 23rd, 2026
1 Day
33.77%
decreased by 1.42%
1 Week
34.64%
decreased by 0.55%
1 Month
35.46%
increased by 0.27%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 10:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 18, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3877 | 7.30*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0894 | 4.32*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6368 | 14.84*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0024 | 0.07 |
Persistence:
0.727
Half-life:
2 days
Other Av-Gad Holdings Ltd Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on International Equities