Skip to main content
V-Lab

Av-Gad Holdings Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Sunday, July 26th, 2026

1 Day

31.37%

decreased by 0.46%

1 Week

32.79%

increased by 0.96%

1 Month

34.63%

increased by 2.80%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 02:48 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Av-Gad Holdings Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 18, 2021 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9792
7.28***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0789
4.57***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7246
22.60***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0038
0.14

Persistence:

0.805

Half-life:

3 days