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V-Lab

Av-Gad Holdings Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Sunday, August 23rd, 2026

1 Day

33.77%

decreased by 1.42%

1 Week

34.64%

decreased by 0.55%

1 Month

35.46%

increased by 0.27%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 10:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Av-Gad Holdings Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 18, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3877
7.30***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0894
4.32***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6368
14.84***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0024
0.07

Persistence:

0.727

Half-life:

2 days