V-Lab
Av-Gad Holdings Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Sunday, August 9th, 2026
1 Day
63.56%
increased by 30.29%
1 Week
54.31%
increased by 21.04%
1 Month
42.46%
increased by 9.19%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 10:41 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 18, 2021 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3125 | 7.27*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0901 | 4.26*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6528 | 15.93*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0024 | 0.07 |
Persistence:
0.744
Half-life:
2 days
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