V-Lab
Av-Gad Holdings Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Sunday, July 26th, 2026
1 Day
31.37%
decreased by 0.46%
1 Week
32.79%
increased by 0.96%
1 Month
34.63%
increased by 2.80%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 02:48 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 18, 2021 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9792 | 7.28*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0789 | 4.57*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7246 | 22.60*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0038 | 0.14 |
Persistence:
0.805
Half-life:
3 days
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