V-Lab
Av-Gad Holdings Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Sunday, August 9th, 2026
1 Day
79.71%
increased by 42.72%
1 Week
61.99%
increased by 25.00%
1 Month
46.95%
increased by 9.96%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 10:41 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 18, 2021 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.5271 | 19.75*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3017 | 12.59*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3112 | 14.04*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0079 | -0.20 |
Persistence:
0.609
Half-life:
1 days
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