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V-Lab

Av-Gad Holdings Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Sunday, August 9th, 2026

1 Day

79.71%

increased by 42.72%

1 Week

61.99%

increased by 25.00%

1 Month

46.95%

increased by 9.96%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 10:41 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Av-Gad Holdings Ltd AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 18, 2021 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.5271
19.75***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3017
12.59***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3112
14.04***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0079
-0.20

Persistence:

0.609

Half-life:

1 days