Dow Jones Industrial Average Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:17.80% (+4.47%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.4536 | 7.03 | |
| 0.1032 | 9.63 | |
| 0.8647 | 72.15 | |
| 0.0743 | 5.55 | |
| -0.1158 | -5.39 | |
| 0.0632 | 4.05 | |
| -0.0367 | -2.62 | |
| 0.0320 | 2.08 | |
| -0.0251 | -2.19 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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