CBOE Volatility Index

CBOE NASDAQ-100 Volatility Index

CBOE DJIA Volatility Index

CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index

CBOE S&P 500 9-Day Volatility Index

CBOE 3-Month Volatility Index

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CBOE Skew Index

How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
mwindow	46
αARCH	0.1965	6.08***
βGARCH	0.6341	13.34***
γleverage	-0.0688	-1.61
λ₁tau intercept	10.0000	2.02**
λ₂forecast adj.	0.5983	2.04**
λ₃tau persistence	0.0929	0.23

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	46
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.1965	6.08***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.6341	13.34***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	-0.0688	-1.61
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	10.0000	2.02**
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.5983	2.04**
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.0929	0.23

V-Lab

TLT Percentage Price Volatility Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other TLT Percentage Price Volatility Index Analyses