Skip to main content
V-Lab

CBOE Goldman Sachs Volatility Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

61.73%

decreased by 1.08%

1 Week

65.73%

increased by 2.92%

1 Month

71.93%

increased by 9.12%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 11:37 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CBOE Goldman Sachs Volatility Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 7, 2011 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2078
30.83***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6925
47.76***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1700
-22.19***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.2626
1.22
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0635
1.54
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8985
12.62***

Persistence:

0.815

Half-life:

3 days