Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

EURO STOXX 50 Volatility Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 16th, 2026

1 Day

87.10%

decreased by 0.20%

1 Week

90.25%

increased by 2.95%

1 Month

94.27%

increased by 6.97%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 04:30 AM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/15/2024

to

10/15/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of EURO STOXX 50 Volatility Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 4, 1999 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Inverse leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow26
αARCH0.1889
8.47***
βGARCH0.7214
24.61***
γleverage-0.1889
-6.24***
λ₁tau intercept0.3719
1.72*
λ₂forecast adj.0.0203
2.88***
λ₃tau persistence0.9699
80.53***

0.816

Persistence

3d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1889
8.47***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7214
24.61***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1889
-6.24***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.3719
1.72*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0203
2.88***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9699
80.53***

Persistence:

0.816

Half-life:

3 days