Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

EURO STOXX 50 Volatility Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, November 5th, 2026

1 Day

103.47%

decreased by 7.40%

1 Week

102.37%

decreased by 8.50%

1 Month

101.56%

decreased by 9.31%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 05:30 AM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

11/04/2024

to

11/04/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of EURO STOXX 50 Volatility Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 4, 1999 to Oct 30, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Inverse leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow26
αARCH0.1878
8.46***
βGARCH0.7230
24.78***
γleverage-0.1878
-6.23***
λ₁tau intercept0.3646
1.72*
λ₂forecast adj.0.0201
2.90***
λ₃tau persistence0.9704
82.21***

0.817

Persistence

3d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1878
8.46***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7230
24.78***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1878
-6.23***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.3646
1.72*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0201
2.90***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9704
82.21***

Persistence:

0.817

Half-life:

3 days