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V-Lab

EURO STOXX 50 Volatility Index GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026

1 Day

90.04%

increased by 2.79%

1 Week

92.52%

increased by 5.27%

1 Month

97.11%

increased by 9.86%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 04:30 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of EURO STOXX 50 Volatility Index GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 4, 1999 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
27.88***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1272
30.28***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7490
108.53***

Persistence:

0.876

Half-life:

5 days