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V-Lab

CBOE Amazon Volatility Index GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

107.59%

decreased by 0.12%

1 Week

108.25%

increased by 0.54%

1 Month

109.68%

increased by 1.97%

Analysis last updated: Monday, September 7, 2026 at 11:39 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CBOE Amazon Volatility Index GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 7, 2011 to Sep 4, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 6-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.77
αARCH0.0093
0.70
βGARCH0.8887
6.37***

0.898

Persistence

6d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.77
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0093
0.70
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8887
6.37***

Persistence:

0.898

Half-life:

6 days