Skip to main content
V-Lab

India NSE Volatility Index GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 31st, 2026

1 Day

85.52%

decreased by 4.41%

1 Week

86.54%

decreased by 3.39%

1 Month

89.13%

decreased by 0.80%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 08:05 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of India NSE Volatility Index GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 3, 2008 to Apr 4, 2025

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.4101
17.69***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1057
18.16***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8242
107.22***

Persistence:

0.930

Half-life:

10 days