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V-Lab

S&P/BMV IPC VIX GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

53.49%

decreased by 0.24%

1 Week

64.33%

increased by 10.60%

1 Month

77.77%

increased by 24.04%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 08:37 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of S&P/BMV IPC VIX GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2015 to Apr 4, 2025

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
12.94***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2754
9.14***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5499
26.18***

Persistence:

0.825

Half-life:

4 days