Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

CBOE Apple Volatility Index GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 9th, 2026

1 Day

88.93%

decreased by 0.72%

1 Week

92.49%

increased by 2.84%

1 Month

99.32%

increased by 9.67%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 9, 2026 at 11:33 AM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/08/2024

to

10/08/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CBOE Apple Volatility Index GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 7, 2011 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 6-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
2.67***
αARCH0.0604
4.39***
βGARCH0.8260
17.83***

0.886

Persistence

6d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
2.67***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0604
4.39***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8260
17.83***

Persistence:

0.886

Half-life:

6 days