ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market 6 Month Option Volatility Estimate Index GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, April 10th, 2026
1 Day
57.42%
decreased by 4.70%
1 Week
56.76%
decreased by 5.36%
1 Month
54.55%
decreased by 7.57%
Analysis last updated: Friday, April 10, 2026 at 07:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.2679 | 21.73 | |
| 0.1819 | 26.79 | |
| 0.7858 | 118.45 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 26, 2008 to Apr 2, 2026
Feb 26, 2008 to Apr 2, 2026
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