ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market 6 Month Option Volatility Estimate Index GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, May 8th, 2026
1 Day
47.77%
decreased by 3.62%
1 Week
47.64%
decreased by 3.75%
1 Month
47.23%
decreased by 4.16%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, May 9, 2026 at 03:07 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.2679 | 21.73 | |
| 0.1819 | 26.79 | |
| 0.7858 | 118.45 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 26, 2008 to Apr 2, 2026
Feb 26, 2008 to Apr 2, 2026
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