ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market 6 Month Option Volatility Estimate Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, April 6th, 2026
1 Day
54.83%
decreased by 9.77%
1 Week
49.94%
decreased by 14.66%
1 Month
38.68%
decreased by 25.92%
Analysis last updated: Friday, April 3, 2026 at 10:07 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.1752 | 4.79 | |
| 0.1870 | 4.96 | |
| 0.6918 | 16.20 | |
| 0.1790 | 1.42 | |
| -0.1003 | -0.50 | |
| -0.3099 | -1.51 | |
| 0.5551 | 2.71 | |
| -0.4834 | -2.57 | |
| 0.2339 | 1.29 | |
| -0.2490 | -1.57 | |
| 0.2889 | 2.74 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 26, 2008 to Apr 2, 2026
Feb 26, 2008 to Apr 2, 2026
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