ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market 6 Month Option Volatility Estimate Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, December 26th, 2025:18.80% (-1.36%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.1078 | 5.05 | |
| 0.1882 | 4.61 | |
| 0.6548 | 13.51 | |
| 0.1741 | 1.42 | |
| -0.0860 | -0.43 | |
| -0.3268 | -1.60 | |
| 0.5552 | 2.76 | |
| -0.4584 | -2.49 | |
| 0.2193 | 1.26 | |
| -0.2793 | -1.90 | |
| 0.3333 | 3.51 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 26, 2008 to Dec 24, 2025
Feb 26, 2008 to Dec 24, 2025
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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