ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market 6 Month Option Volatility Estimate Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 6th, 2026
1 Day
22.64%
decreased by 1.05%
1 Week
23.83%
increased by 0.14%
1 Month
26.23%
increased by 2.54%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 3, 2026 at 10:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.3002 | 4.68 | |
| 0.1706 | 4.92 | |
| 0.7302 | 18.01 | |
| 0.2332 | 2.44 | |
| -0.3735 | -2.66 | |
| 0.2853 | 3.50 | |
| -0.1770 | -2.18 | |
| -0.0365 | -0.43 | |
| 0.1133 | 2.02 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 26, 2008 to Jul 2, 2026
Feb 26, 2008 to Jul 2, 2026
Other ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market 6 Month Option Volatility Estimate Index Analyses
Other Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Analyses on Volatility Indices