ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market 6 Month Option Volatility Estimate Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, January 16th, 2026:23.82% (-1.07%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.1079 | 5.05 | |
| 0.1886 | 4.62 | |
| 0.6538 | 13.49 | |
| 0.1739 | 1.42 | |
| -0.0857 | -0.43 | |
| -0.3269 | -1.61 | |
| 0.5553 | 2.76 | |
| -0.4586 | -2.49 | |
| 0.2198 | 1.26 | |
| -0.2807 | -1.91 | |
| 0.3341 | 3.55 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 26, 2008 to Dec 31, 2025
Feb 26, 2008 to Dec 31, 2025
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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