Cboe 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Volatility Basis Point Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 6th, 2026
1 Day
77.16%
increased by 4.56%
1 Week
80.79%
increased by 8.19%
1 Month
86.66%
increased by 14.06%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 3, 2026 at 11:39 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0180 | 4.54 | |
| 0.1435 | 3.96 | |
| 0.7102 | 12.99 | |
| 0.0242 | 0.08 | |
| 0.1682 | 0.35 | |
| -0.5669 | -1.29 | |
| 0.6647 | 1.75 | |
| -0.3715 | -1.64 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 2018 to Jul 2, 2026
Jan 2, 2018 to Jul 2, 2026
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