Nikkei Stock Average Volatility Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, December 29th, 2025:108.47% (-13.23%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.1184 | 4.92 | |
| 0.1853 | 7.07 | |
| 0.6302 | 16.25 | |
| 0.1033 | 2.91 | |
| -0.1209 | -2.53 | |
| 0.0301 | 1.16 | |
| -0.0027 | -0.11 | |
| -0.0348 | -1.36 | |
| 0.0423 | 1.36 | |
| -0.0233 | -0.70 | |
| 0.0050 | 0.21 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 3, 1990 to Dec 26, 2025
Jan 3, 1990 to Dec 26, 2025
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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