Nikkei Stock Average Volatility Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, December 22nd, 2025:162.77% (+4.88%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.1208 | 4.92 | |
| 0.1855 | 7.08 | |
| 0.6300 | 16.24 | |
| 0.1036 | 2.91 | |
| -0.1211 | -2.53 | |
| 0.0299 | 1.15 | |
| -0.0024 | -0.09 | |
| -0.0352 | -1.37 | |
| 0.0425 | 1.36 | |
| -0.0232 | -0.69 | |
| 0.0048 | 0.21 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 3, 1990 to Dec 19, 2025
Jan 3, 1990 to Dec 19, 2025
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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