Nikkei Stock Average Volatility Index

CBOE EFA ETF Volatility Index

How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
ωconst	0.1510	3.23***
αARCH	0.1485	5.00***
βGARCH	0.9599	93.47***
γleverage	0.1024	3.59***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
ω const Unconditional variance weight	0.1510	3.23***
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.1485	5.00***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.9599	93.47***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	0.1024	3.59***

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Nikkei Stock Average Volatility Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

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