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S&P / TSX 60 VIX Index CAD EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 9th, 2026

1 Day

165.31%

increased by 69.48%

1 Week

152.59%

increased by 56.76%

1 Month

136.57%

increased by 40.74%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 02:30 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/08/2024

to

10/08/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of S&P / TSX 60 VIX Index CAD EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2017 to Oct 8, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.8074
5.46***
αARCH0.4631
9.24***
βGARCH0.8062
22.40***
γleverage-0.0918
-1.83*

0.806

Persistence

3d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8074
5.46***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4631
9.24***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8062
22.40***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0918
-1.83*

Persistence:

0.806

Half-life:

3 days