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V-Lab

S&P / TSX 60 VIX Index CAD AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 16th, 2026

1 Day

112.68%

decreased by 20.93%

1 Week

120.35%

decreased by 13.26%

1 Month

131.36%

decreased by 2.25%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 11:50 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/15/2024

to

10/15/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of S&P / TSX 60 VIX Index CAD AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2017 to Oct 8, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 4-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst11.6052
6.37***
αARCH0.3030
6.46***
βGARCH0.5298
12.94***
γleverage1.8300
1.41

0.833

Persistence

4d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

11.6052
6.37***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3030
6.46***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5298
12.94***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

1.8300
1.41

Persistence:

0.833

Half-life:

4 days