V-Lab
CBOE Google Volatility Index AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
96.66%
decreased by 0.41%
1 Week
106.63%
increased by 9.56%
1 Month
115.90%
increased by 18.83%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 11:37 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 7, 2011 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 15.0000 | 20.21*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1585 | 19.58*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5769 | 44.22*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.5346 | 1.26 |
Persistence:
0.735
Half-life:
2 days
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