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V-Lab

CBOE Google Volatility Index AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

96.66%

decreased by 0.41%

1 Week

106.63%

increased by 9.56%

1 Month

115.90%

increased by 18.83%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 11:37 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CBOE Google Volatility Index AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 7, 2011 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

15.0000
20.21***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1585
19.58***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5769
44.22***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5346
1.26

Persistence:

0.735

Half-life:

2 days