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V-Lab

CBOE Crude Oil Volatility Index AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026

1 Day

80.44%

decreased by 6.16%

1 Week

82.32%

decreased by 4.28%

1 Month

86.36%

decreased by 0.24%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 11:30 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of CBOE Crude Oil Volatility Index AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 10, 2007 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.8025
4.62***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1401
5.17***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7638
25.80***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-1.5390
-1.89*

Persistence:

0.904

Half-life:

7 days