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V-Lab

CBOE Crude Oil Volatility Index Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026

1 Day

103.51%

decreased by 5.25%

1 Week

102.96%

decreased by 5.80%

1 Month

101.15%

decreased by 7.61%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 11:34 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CBOE Crude Oil Volatility Index AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 15, 2008 to Jul 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 20 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 20 days.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2419
18.63***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1449
23.40***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8231
153.62***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0054
-0.53

Persistence:

0.965

Half-life:

20 days