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V-Lab

CBOE Crude Oil Volatility Index Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

88.07%

increased by 20.22%

1 Week

88.59%

increased by 20.74%

1 Month

90.26%

increased by 22.41%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 12:48 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CBOE Crude Oil Volatility Index AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 15, 2008 to Sep 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 20 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 20 days.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 20-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.2485
4.70***
αARCH0.1427
5.92***
βGARCH0.8237
39.10***
γleverage-0.0015
-0.04

0.966

Persistence

20d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2485
4.70***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1427
5.92***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8237
39.10***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0015
-0.04

Persistence:

0.966

Half-life:

20 days